Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.164953 5.635859 6.149316 6.754162 7.451619 8.236083 9.192923
2025-02-16 4.385070 5.020666 5.766760 6.720894 7.929320 9.438683 11.517121
2025-02-23 3.981076 4.708317 5.606491 6.825123 8.482145 10.733335 14.174306
2025-03-02 3.578196 4.324576 5.278741 6.628128 8.560134 11.358021 16.009360
2025-03-09 3.290795 4.048189 5.044395 6.503450 8.688370 12.040053 18.073460
2025-03-16 3.082031 3.850679 4.887519 6.454971 8.902048 12.869091 20.605550
2025-03-23 2.971517 3.772685 4.882246 6.617220 9.452003 14.343980 24.839773
2025-03-30 2.778416 3.563322 4.668673 6.435104 9.409238 14.764501 27.064277
2025-04-06 2.606708 3.371774 4.464605 6.244073 9.319933 15.073336 29.153355
2025-04-13 2.454912 3.198973 4.275014 6.056250 9.208164 15.311891 31.171959
2025-04-20 2.350039 3.087821 4.169763 5.994739 9.312834 16.007499 34.734503
2025-04-27 2.305182 3.061661 4.191404 6.144981 9.829119 17.697402 42.213351
2025-05-04 2.244300 3.014781 4.187872 6.271470 10.362248 19.684805 52.829544
2025-05-11 2.158684 2.926643 4.114543 6.271958 10.655060 21.230836 63.846053
2025-05-18 2.099596 2.875217 4.095915 6.368355 11.167603 23.550645 82.092066
2025-05-25 1.995036 2.746400 3.939739 6.190638 11.045173 24.048222 91.717503
2025-06-01 1.910822 2.645375 3.823554 6.077930 11.053878 24.957281 106.161189
2025-06-08 1.845204 2.570579 3.746849 6.034073 11.217470 26.433965 129.233417
2025-06-15 1.815861 2.552417 3.765744 6.180795 11.871756 29.893488 186.290156
2025-06-22 1.739380 2.453580 3.637457 6.016095 11.711210 30.330320 212.019181
2025-06-29 1.666627 2.357960 3.509985 5.843095 11.505722 30.538811 237.624067
2025-07-06 1.598790 2.267909 3.388104 5.672759 11.285436 30.629745 264.347639
2025-07-13 1.551977 2.211007 3.322795 5.616922 11.368544 32.059448 335.867510